"It Ain't Necessarily So"

SB 2X (Simitian) RPS Senate Floor Statement 

Madame President, Senators I rise to oppose SB 2X. It's not that I don’t like the author. Quite the contrary I find him a conscientious legislator. Nor is my objection based on an opposition to the idea of renewable energy. In fact, I actually wrote the first RPS bill in California, which protected consumers from price gouging. Along with Senator Simitian I was a principal co-author of Senator Byron Sher's SB 1078 in 2002. I jockeyed the bill on the assembly floor to a bi-partisan 2/3 majority. So what's different now?

I have more issues with SB 2X than I have time to discuss today. However, I want my concerns on the record so that when this policy comes back in a few years as the "Energy Crisis Part II" it will be noted that someone raised the red flags before the train wreck.

One of my favorite movies as a child was "Porgy and Bess." My favorite character in the cast was "Sportin Life" played by the late Sammy Davis, Jr. I am reminded of the song, "It ain't necessarily so, I say it ain't necessarily so, the things that you liable to read in "Joe's" Bible, ain't necessarily so."

Members, last week in the budget committee we were making severe cuts to services. We reduced glasses, hearing aids, prescriptions and adult day health care. We even cut back on incontinence products for the elderly. Like you I have been inundated with calls from people concerned about the cuts. So today we are about to vote on a bill that could result in a 15% to 20% rate increase[1] to those same people. SB 2X could very well result in a $1.5 billion hit to the general fund without any demonstrable benefits.

The objective of SB 2X is unclear. 33% by 2020 is a great slogan, but what are we trying to achieve? In 2002 we were concerned about the price volatility of the natural gas market, so fuel diversity was the stated goal. But we have since learned that due in part to backup requirements and system demands, intermittent, non-dispatchable resources don't reduce gas consumption. In fact some of the systems with the greatest use of the technologies specified SB 2X have seen actually their gas consumption increase. So if fuel diversity is the goal, the bill fails.

The slogan 33% by 2020 was later used to promote carbon reduction. But we run into the same problem as with fuel diversity. The technologies in SB 2X don't reduce fuel consumption, therefore they don't reduce carbon. As we see with our current RPS goal of 20%, we have actually seen our net gas consumption increase, not decrease as we add more renewables to the system. So if the goal is carbon reduction we would actually be better off using our base load plants more efficiently than the introduction of intermittent, non-dispatchable resources. If carbon reduction is truly a goal, reducing our average base load heat rate would have a much greater impact on carbon reduction than adding 33% of renewables and for a fraction of the cost. Even more problematic, an electric company could fully comply with SB2 X and increase their carbon foot print because the bill does not score carbon reduction or environmental benefits. So again what is the goal?

The current use of the slogan is relating it to jobs. The Division of Ratepayer Advocates, who by the way supported the bill in committee, distributed a report dated February 2011. On page 8 of the report they cite the current above market costs to date for renewables. That number is over $6 billion. That's over $6 billion to almost reach 20%.[2] Let me say this again, these are "ABOVE MARKET COSTS." At this rate the above market costs to get to 33% could exceed $15 billion. How many jobs will be taken out of the economy to finance these over market charges?

California currently has some of the highest industrial rates in the country. The California Manufacturers and Technology Association who opposed the bill in committee stated that California's electricity costs run 18-20% higher than the national average at today's rates. Safeway Stores, the second largest private employer in California also opposed the bill in committee citing costs and unfair treatment of direct generation customers. Safeway reduced their emissions and carbon footprint however, SB 2X actually penalizes them for being good corporate citizens. They reported that they have begun to move jobs out of California to reduce costs.

So this additional $15 billion, coupled with our already high electric rates, will all but eliminate our ability to compete in the manufacturing sector. But here is another point to remember - while people do work in the electricity industry, its purpose is not to create jobs. The electricity sector provides the platform for the delivery of goods and services. Others use that platform to create jobs - not the other way around. Raising rates to create jobs is not sound economic policy. So if the goal of SB 2X was to create jobs, I'm afraid it misses the mark again.

SB 2X calls on the CPUC to balance the cost of the procurement contracts. SB 2X specifically eliminates a consumer protection that was included in Senator's Sher's bill called the Market Price Reference or MPR. The same Division of Ratepayer Advocates report states that "The CPUC has approved nearly every renewable contract filed by the utilities, even when they rate poorly on least-cost, best fit criteria."[3] SB 2X gives the CPUC a blank check to approve contracts with no statutory guidance. In light of their abysmal record thus far, this is a bad idea.

Members my final point is where I started, in California we slant the electric system costs toward the commercial/business user. Businesses pay income taxes on their net; individuals pay taxes on their gross. The totalannual California electricity bill in 2009 was $33.71 billion.[4] SB 2X could add another $15 billion[5] to that total when fully implemented counting over market charges alone. Because it eliminates the MPR the vendors will have no incentive to reduce their prices, particularly when they know the CPUC will simply approve all the contracts anyway. Whether inadvertent or on purpose, SB2 X creates a seller's market, ensuring that this will be some very expensive power. So of that $ 15 billion you can subtract about $1.5 million from our general fund as companies will deduct it from their taxable income.[6] Is this really worth $1.5 billion, or stated another way, is it worth taking away adult day health care or Depends for the elderly? That's our choice today.

Members, in my view SB2 X should be re-referred to the Energy committee and re-worked. But it seems there is never enough time to do something right and always enough time to do it over. Well do overs are expensive, with all due respect to my friend and colleague from Palo Alto I say -- it ain't necessarily so. I ask your no vote on SB2 X.



[1]According to the Division of Ratepayer Advocates (DRA), more than half of all existing renewables contracts are 15% higher that the applicable market price rate, represented by $6 billion in current above-market charges that have yet to be imposed on ratepayers, as reported by the DRA in a recent report, entitled Green Rush. The CPUC estimated in June 2009 that $115 billion in infrastructure investment is needed over the next 10 years to reach a 33% renewables standard by 2020, in addition to the $51 billion that is needed just to get to the 20% goal.  Because the bill creates inelastic demand for renewables to get from roughly 15% existing statewide renewables to 33% by 2020, infrastructure costs are collected by utilities from ratepayers, and that current electricity costs are $33.7 billion annually, the DRA report cited herein would suggest that electricity rate increases will significantly exceed 20% over the 10-year course of the implementation of a 33% renewables portfolio standard.

[2]Green Rush: Investor-Owned Utilities' Compliance with the Renewables Portfolio Standard, CPUC, Division of Ratepayer Advocates, February 2011

[3]Id., at p. 8

[4]Retail Sales, Revenue, and Average Retail Price by Sector, 1990 Through 2008 (California), Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, available at http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/st_profiles/california.html

[5]The CPUC Division of Ratepayer Advocates reports that, to date, $6 billion in above-market funds have been committed to date, but not yet charged to ratepayers. These funds are collected by and then allocated to each utility for renewables projects to pay for renewables that are above the retail market price of electricity. The major utilities have not reached the 20% renewables requirement in existing law. For example, Southern California Edison is now 4.54 million MWh short of full compliance with the yearly renewables portfolio standard goals under existing law.

[6]Form 540 and tax tables, California Franchise Tax Board